BOE’s Haldane surprised Carney and traders both, calling for
a rate hike in spite of being termed as the most dovish member of the BOE,
which drove GBP towards 1.27 levels. Strong existing home sales data failed to
prop up dollar index reinforcing the view of dollar weakness going forward.
Fall in Brent prices below 45 levels will keep risk sentiments on the back foot
creating further pressure on USDJPY. Centrist FOMC member Powell speaks today
at 7-30 PM.
The RBI minutes according to traders were not as dovish as
anticipated and consequently India 10 Y yields are unchanged. Bond inflows
continue to flow expecting rate cuts from RBI in the August meeting. USDINR 1m
NDF is trading 4p left while Asian equities are mildly positive. During the day
USDINR should move in tandem with other EM currencies globally reflecting oil
price action as well. USDINR should be well supported near 64.46 levels given a
congestion of lines. CMP 64.52, Range 64.46-64.67.
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