Mostly a hawkish FOMC but the 10Y yield failed to rise above 3% while the 10-2 spread narrowed, and as a result the dollar perhaps lost its second last chance (in the current up move) to register further gains. The last opportunity comes today, if the ECB turns out to be dovish and does not talk about APP then we could see Euro heading lower. On the other hand Euro gains post the ECB would suggest that we can see a sharp move lower in the dollar index.
USDINR 1m NDF has moved lower to 27p from 30p yesterday. EM currencies have been trading flat since post the FOMC yesterday. Equity markets seem moderately concerned with the FED dot plot of 2 more rate hikes in 2018. Market chatter is about a large investment into an Indian Bank to the tune of USD 2.5 bn dollars but the timing of the inflow remains uncertain. CMP 67.58, Range 67.65-67.45.
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